Blackjack Odds
The biggest advantage to the house is that the player has to act first and one of the important factors in understanding and mastering blackjack strategy is to understand the odds of certain events occurring. On an average, a player will win 44% of the time while the dealer wins 48% of the time and 8% of the hands will end up in a tie.
With these odds it would be logical to assume that a player will lose more money then they would win but it doesn’t take into account player advantages like doubling up, splitting and most importantly, the fact that the payout on blackjack is a 3 to 2. Though the house advantage is approximately 8% over the player, by applying basic casino strategy, players can effectively reduce the house edge.
Player Advantage Based On Dealers Show Card
| Dealer Show Card | % Of Dealer Bust | Player Advantage % |
| 2 | 35.30% | 9.8% |
| 3 | 37.56% | 13.4% |
| 4 | 40.28% | 18.0% |
| 5 | 42.89% | 23.2% |
| 6 | 42.28% | 23.9% |
| 7 | 25.99% | 14.3% |
| 8 | 23.86% | 5.4% |
| 9 | 23.34% | -4.3% |
| J,Q,K | 21.42% | -16.9% |
| A | 11.65% | -16.0% |
Probability of Busting Based On Player Card Total
| Hand Value | % Of Busting If Hit |
| 21 | 100% |
| 20 | 92% |
| 19 | 85% |
| 18 | 77% |
| 17 | 69% |
| 16 | 62% |
| 15 | 58% |
| 14 | 56% |
| 13 | 39% |
| 12 | 31% |
| 11 or Less | 0% |